{"id":121446,"date":"2025-12-22T18:14:54","date_gmt":"2025-12-22T16:14:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.lamaisonestates.com\/?p=121446"},"modified":"2025-12-22T18:14:54","modified_gmt":"2025-12-22T16:14:54","slug":"steady-3-5-growth-and-sharp-inflation-drop-forecast-for-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lamaisonestates.com\/he\/steady-3-5-growth-and-sharp-inflation-drop-forecast-for-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Steady 3.5% Growth and Sharp Inflation Drop Forecast for 2025"},"content":{"rendered":"<p data-path-to-node=\"2\">The Central Bank of Cyprus (CBC) has released its definitive year-end projections, painting a picture of an economy that remains on a steady climb despite global headwinds. According to the December 2025 report, Cyprus is expected to see its GDP expand by 3.5% in 2025, a slight moderation from the revised 3.9% growth recorded in 2024.<\/p>\n<h3 data-path-to-node=\"4\">Domestic Demand Fuels the Expansion<\/h3>\n<p data-path-to-node=\"5\">The primary engine of this growth continues to be robust internal demand. The CBC attributes this momentum to two key factors:<\/p>\n<ol start=\"1\" data-path-to-node=\"6\">\n<li>\n<p data-path-to-node=\"6,0,0\">Rising Disposable Income: Real household earnings are increasing, giving consumers more purchasing power.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p data-path-to-node=\"6,1,0\">Private Consumption: High levels of spending are supported by a resilient job market that has successfully withstood external shocks.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p data-path-to-node=\"7\">Looking further ahead, the CBC expects the economy to settle into a stable growth rhythm of 3% annually between 2026 and 2028.<\/p>\n<h3 data-path-to-node=\"9\">Labor Market: Reaching &#8220;Full Employment&#8221;<\/h3>\n<p data-path-to-node=\"10\">One of the most significant highlights of the forecast is the continued strengthening of the labor market. Unemployment is projected to fall to 4.5% in 2025, down from 4.9% last year.<\/p>\n<ul data-path-to-node=\"11\">\n<li>\n<p data-path-to-node=\"11,0,0\">Positive Indicators: This decline aligns with the European Commission&#8217;s recent Economic Surveys, which show high employment expectations and a consistent drop in registered jobseekers.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p data-path-to-node=\"11,1,0\">The 4.5% Threshold: Economists at the CBC believe unemployment will stabilize at this 4.5% mark through 2028, a level effectively considered &#8220;full employment&#8221; within the context of the Cypriot economy.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 data-path-to-node=\"13\">Inflation: A Dramatic 2025 Cooling<\/h3>\n<p data-path-to-node=\"14\">Inflation (HICP) is set to undergo a remarkable transformation, plummeting to just 0.8% in 2025 from the 2.3% seen in 2024. This sharp deceleration is being driven by several unique global and regional factors:<\/p>\n<ul data-path-to-node=\"15\">\n<li>\n<p data-path-to-node=\"15,0,0\">Deflationary Pressures: A cooling in both energy and non-energy industrial prices is the main driver.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p data-path-to-node=\"15,1,0\">Currency Impact: The euro\u2019s appreciation against the US dollar has effectively lowered the cost of imports.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p data-path-to-node=\"15,2,0\">The &#8220;China Effect&#8221;: A diversion of low-cost Chinese imports into the EU market has placed significant downward pressure on consumer prices in Cyprus.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p data-path-to-node=\"16\">While prices are expected to stay low in the immediate term, the CBC warns of a gradual return toward 2% inflation by 2027 as food prices normalize and energy deflation fades.<\/p>\n<h3 data-path-to-node=\"18\">Looking Forward: Forecast Summary (2025\u20132028)<\/h3>\n<table data-path-to-node=\"19\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<td>Year<\/td>\n<td>GDP Growth (%)<\/td>\n<td>Unemployment (%)<\/td>\n<td>Inflation (HICP) (%)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>2024 (Revised)<\/td>\n<td>3.9%<\/td>\n<td>4.9%<\/td>\n<td>2.3%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>2025 (Forecast)<\/td>\n<td>3.5%<\/td>\n<td>4.5%<\/td>\n<td>0.8%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>2026<\/td>\n<td>3.0%<\/td>\n<td>4.5%<\/td>\n<td>1.7%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>2027<\/td>\n<td>3.0%<\/td>\n<td>4.5%<\/td>\n<td>2.2%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>2028<\/td>\n<td>3.0%<\/td>\n<td>4.5%<\/td>\n<td>1.9%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p data-path-to-node=\"20\"><em>Source: Stockwatch.com.cy<\/em><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Central Bank of Cyprus (CBC) has released its definitive year-end projections, painting a picture of an economy that remains on a steady climb despite global headwinds. According to the December 2025 report, Cyprus is expected to see its GDP expand by 3.5% in 2025, a slight moderation from the revised 3.9% growth recorded in [&hellip;]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":9,"featured_media":121447,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[211],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/lamaisonestates.com\/he\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/121446"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/lamaisonestates.com\/he\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/lamaisonestates.com\/he\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lamaisonestates.com\/he\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/9"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lamaisonestates.com\/he\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=121446"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/lamaisonestates.com\/he\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/121446\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":121448,"href":"https:\/\/lamaisonestates.com\/he\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/121446\/revisions\/121448"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lamaisonestates.com\/he\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/121447"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/lamaisonestates.com\/he\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=121446"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lamaisonestates.com\/he\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=121446"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lamaisonestates.com\/he\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=121446"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}